Como vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
29.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
ACM
1 - 1
COM
67%
22%
10%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
ASC
1 - 1
COM
64%
24%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
COM
1 - 1
FCC
41%
31%
28%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
NAP
2 - 0
COM
72%
20%
8%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
COM
2 - 2
BOL
37%
33%
31%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
CAG
2 - 1
FCC
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
UDI
1 - 0
CAG
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
CAG
1 - 0
ASC
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
JUV
1 - 0
CAG
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
CAG
1 - 1
INT
33%
30%
37%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |