Como vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
25.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
BRE
1 - 0
COM
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
COM
0 - 0
BAR
61%
26%
13%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
PIS
0 - 0
COM
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
COM
1 - 1
RIM
58%
26%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
COM
1 - 2
ASC
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
CAG
4 - 3
VAR
58%
25%
18%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
CES
1 - 0
CAG
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
CAG
0 - 0
SSS
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
LEC
2 - 0
CAG
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
TAR
4 - 2
CAG
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -2 |