Como vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
19.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
AVE
0 - 0
COM
39%
31%
29%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
COM
1 - 1
ASS
59%
25%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
BRE
2 - 2
COM
35%
30%
36%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
COM
2 - 0
CAT
72%
21%
7%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
TAR
1 - 0
COM
30%
32%
39%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
CAG
1 - 0
PAL
64%
24%
13%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
ATL
2 - 0
CAG
48%
30%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
CAG
0 - 2
LEC
55%
26%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
VIC
1 - 0
CAG
55%
25%
19%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
CAG
1 - 0
RIM
75%
18%
8%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |