Como vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
COM
0 - 0
ATL
40%
27%
34%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
TAR
1 - 0
COM
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
MES
2 - 0
COM
45%
29%
26%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
FED
1 - 0
COM
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 20 | 44 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
COM
0 - 3
INT
35%
25%
40%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
CAG
2 - 1
ACP
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
CAG
0 - 0
MOD
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
BRE
0 - 1
CAG
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAG
30%
24%
46%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
CAG
0 - 2
ASS
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |