Como vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
ACM
0 - 1
COM
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
COM
1 - 1
SAL
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
FAN
1 - 2
COM
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
VER
1 - 1
COM
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
COM
0 - 0
USA
67%
19%
15%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
ASS
1 - 0
CAG
42%
24%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
CAG
1 - 0
VER
69%
18%
13%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
CAG
3 - 0
PAD
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
TRE
0 - 1
CAG
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
VIC
4 - 1
CAG
45%
24%
30%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |