Como vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
33.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
GEN
1 - 1
COM
58%
26%
17%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
ASS
0 - 0
COM
54%
27%
20%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
COM
1 - 1
REG
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
COM
0 - 1
BAR
45%
29%
26%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
FCC
1 - 1
COM
46%
30%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
BRE
3 - 0
MOD
72%
19%
8%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
LAZ
1 - 0
BRE
43%
29%
28%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
BRE
1 - 0
REG
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1969 |
ROM
3 - 0
BRE
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
ASS
2 - 0
BRE
29%
31%
41%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |