Como vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
VER
1 - 1
COM
56%
23%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1957 |
COM
1 - 2
BRE
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
VNZ
2 - 0
COM
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
COM
3 - 1
ACM
66%
20%
13%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
CAT
3 - 0
COM
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1957 |
USA
2 - 1
BRE
64%
19%
17%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
BRE
2 - 0
TAR
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1957 |
COM
1 - 2
BRE
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
BRE
4 - 1
BAR
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
VER
1 - 0
BRE
61%
22%
18%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |