Como vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
COM
1 - 0
SAM
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
JUV
2 - 1
COM
87%
8%
4%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
COM
2 - 1
ROM
49%
25%
27%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
UDI
1 - 0
COM
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
COM
0 - 0
NOV
52%
23%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
BOL
1 - 0
NOV
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
SAM
1 - 1
BOL
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
BOL
2 - 0
INT
29%
23%
48%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
BOL
3 - 1
ATL
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
PAL
4 - 1
BOL
47%
25%
29%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |