Como vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
38.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 0
COM
29%
27%
44%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
COM
0 - 3
PIA
25%
27%
49%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
FIO
3 - 0
COM
77%
16%
7%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
COM
0 - 2
VER
29%
25%
46%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
COM
0 - 2
VER
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
SPE
2 - 4
USC
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
SAS
0 - 1
SPE
30%
28%
42%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
SPA
0 - 1
SPE
45%
27%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
SPE
0 - 0
REG
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
RIM
2 - 0
SPE
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |