Como vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
36.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1993 |
COM
1 - 2
BRE
29%
29%
42%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1992 |
COM
1 - 2
ASC
43%
27%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1991 |
COM
1 - 2
INT
18%
30%
53%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1991 |
INT
2 - 2
COM
82%
14%
4%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
COM
1 - 0
USC
40%
30%
30%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1994 |
VIC
0 - 0
ASC
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1994 |
ASC
3 - 2
VNZ
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1994 |
PIS
1 - 0
ASC
42%
30%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1994 |
ASC
1 - 0
ANC
47%
27%
27%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1994 |
FIO
5 - 1
ASC
72%
19%
9%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |