Como vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1977 |
USC
1 - 0
COM
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1977 |
ATL
0 - 0
COM
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1977 |
COM
0 - 2
INT
19%
22%
59%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1977 |
COM
0 - 2
VIC
46%
29%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 1977 |
RIM
3 - 1
COM
39%
30%
32%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1977 |
ASC
0 - 0
USC
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1977 |
ASC
2 - 1
ATL
51%
27%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1977 |
INT
0 - 0
ASC
73%
18%
10%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1977 |
CAG
3 - 2
ASC
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1977 |
ASC
0 - 0
TAR
56%
28%
16%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |