Como vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
CAG
2 - 0
COM
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
ATL
1 - 2
COM
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
COM
2 - 1
TAR
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
COM
2 - 0
MES
60%
23%
18%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
COM
2 - 1
ACP
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
REG
2 - 0
VIG
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
VNZ
2 - 1
REG
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
REG
2 - 2
ATL
44%
26%
31%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
NOV
2 - 1
REG
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
BRE
1 - 4
REG
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |