Como vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
COS
3 - 0
COM
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
FCC
2 - 1
COM
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
COM
0 - 0
ASS
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
LAZ
1 - 1
COM
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
COM
0 - 0
MES
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
BAR
4 - 0
ACP
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
ACP
0 - 1
GEN
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
ACP
2 - 0
ASL
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
COS
1 - 1
ACP
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
ACP
3 - 0
FCC
48%
25%
28%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |