Como vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
DER
1 - 1
COM
7%
18%
76%
|
51 | 21 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
COM
1 - 0
ARC
82%
13%
5%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 1
COM
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
COM
1 - 2
PRO
79%
15%
6%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
COM
0 - 0
PRO
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
PAV
2 - 1
OLG
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
FOL
2 - 1
PAV
14%
22%
64%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
PAV
0 - 3
GOZ
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ASD
2 - 1
PAV
13%
21%
65%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
PAV
2 - 2
ASD
78%
15%
8%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | -1 |