Como vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
12.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 0
COM
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
COM
3 - 0
ACL
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
VNZ
2 - 2
COM
40%
25%
34%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
REG
2 - 0
COM
28%
26%
46%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
COM
2 - 2
ABN
41%
27%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PAV
1 - 3
PRO
50%
26%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
REG
2 - 2
PAV
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
PAV
0 - 3
ABN
24%
26%
50%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
USC
1 - 0
PAV
73%
18%
9%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
PAV
0 - 0
LEO
29%
29%
43%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |