Como vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
AVE
3 - 3
COM
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
COM
1 - 0
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
TAR
3 - 1
COM
56%
26%
19%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
COM
1 - 2
TRI
62%
23%
15%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FCV
1 - 2
COM
31%
28%
41%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
PAV
1 - 2
BEN
14%
22%
64%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2011 |
PIS
1 - 0
PAV
70%
20%
10%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PAV
1 - 2
LEO
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
TER
2 - 2
PAV
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PAV
0 - 2
ACL
33%
28%
39%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |