Como vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
15.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FCS
1 - 3
COM
29%
31%
40%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
COM
3 - 0
ACL
30%
28%
42%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ASG
1 - 1
COM
54%
26%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
COM
3 - 2
SOR
25%
27%
48%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
COM
2 - 1
SPE
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2011 |
PAV
1 - 0
PER
36%
29%
35%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
RAV
2 - 0
PAV
64%
22%
14%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
PAV
1 - 0
ASS
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
BV5
0 - 0
PAV
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
PAV
1 - 2
SAL
28%
27%
45%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |