Como vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
PAD
1 - 0
COM
50%
25%
26%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
ATP
1 - 0
COM
40%
27%
34%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
COM
1 - 0
TRE
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
CAT
1 - 1
COM
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
MES
1 - 0
COM
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
PAV
2 - 2
PRO
41%
24%
35%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
VIC
3 - 1
PAV
65%
20%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
CAG
1 - 1
PAV
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
PAV
5 - 1
TRE
57%
22%
20%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
SAL
1 - 0
PAV
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |