Como vs AC Marzotto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1960 |
COM
0 - 1
LEC
57%
23%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1960 |
VNZ
3 - 0
COM
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1960 |
PAR
2 - 0
COM
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
REG
1 - 2
COM
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1960 |
COM
2 - 1
ASS
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1960 |
SSS
1 - 3
ACM
49%
28%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1960 |
ACM
0 - 0
BRE
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1960 |
ACM
1 - 2
ASS
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
MES
1 - 0
ACM
47%
28%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1960 |
ACM
1 - 1
VNZ
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |