Como vs AC Marzotto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
BRE
0 - 0
COM
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
COM
0 - 1
REG
57%
23%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
CAG
2 - 0
COM
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
ATL
1 - 2
COM
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
COM
2 - 1
TAR
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
ACM
0 - 0
PAR
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
ACM
0 - 1
BRE
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
PAL
1 - 0
ACM
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
MES
0 - 0
ACM
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
ACM
0 - 1
NOV
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |