Como vs AC Marzotto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1955 |
CAG
2 - 2
COM
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
COM
1 - 1
USA
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1955 |
PAV
0 - 1
COM
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1955 |
COM
2 - 1
TRE
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1955 |
COM
1 - 2
PAR
47%
23%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
CAG
2 - 0
ACM
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1955 |
ACM
3 - 1
VER
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1955 |
SAL
4 - 1
ACM
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1955 |
TAR
2 - 1
ACM
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1955 |
ACM
3 - 2
PAR
44%
23%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |