Como vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
35.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1995 |
LEC
1 - 0
COM
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
COM
1 - 4
SAL
37%
30%
33%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1995 |
PRG
6 - 0
COM
56%
27%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1995 |
COM
3 - 1
ASC
36%
30%
35%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1995 |
ACI
1 - 0
COM
55%
26%
18%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1995 |
CES
0 - 0
PES
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
VNZ
0 - 2
CES
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1995 |
CES
1 - 2
ATL
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1995 |
UDI
2 - 0
CES
69%
20%
12%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1995 |
PRG
1 - 1
CES
45%
29%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |