Como vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
25%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1982 |
AVE
1 - 1
COM
67%
23%
10%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
COM
0 - 1
ROM
23%
29%
49%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1982 |
UDI
1 - 0
COM
72%
19%
9%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1982 |
COM
1 - 1
INT
23%
29%
48%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
CAG
2 - 0
COM
71%
20%
9%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1982 |
CES
4 - 1
FCC
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
ASC
1 - 0
CES
60%
25%
15%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1982 |
CES
2 - 1
CAG
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1982 |
CES
2 - 0
AVE
51%
27%
22%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
TOR
0 - 0
CES
70%
21%
10%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |