Como vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ACL
1 - 2
COM
29%
28%
43%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
COM
1 - 4
NUO
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
COM
1 - 2
BV5
48%
26%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
USC
1 - 0
COM
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
POR
2 - 5
COM
22%
27%
51%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ARZ
0 - 1
USC
30%
28%
43%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
REA
0 - 0
ARZ
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ARZ
2 - 2
PRO
57%
24%
20%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ARZ
1 - 1
USA
31%
28%
42%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
FER
0 - 0
ARZ
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |