Comerciantes Unidos vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
38.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 1
COM
75%
16%
8%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
COM
2 - 2
COM
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
COM
1 - 0
GAR
24%
24%
52%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MUN
1 - 0
COM
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
COM
1 - 0
ALI
22%
26%
52%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
UTC
1 - 1
GAR
31%
27%
41%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MUN
0 - 1
UTC
47%
27%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
UTC
0 - 1
ALI
36%
29%
35%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SPC
1 - 0
UTC
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
UTC
2 - 1
SBO
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |