Comerciantes Unidos vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 0
COM
59%
23%
19%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
COM
1 - 3
SPC
27%
23%
49%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
AYA
2 - 3
COM
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 1
COM
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
COM
2 - 4
SRP
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
UTC
1 - 0
ALI
32%
29%
39%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
SAM
2 - 2
UTC
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
UTC
1 - 0
SRP
39%
29%
32%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
UTC
0 - 0
UNI
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
AYA
2 - 1
UTC
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |