Comerciantes Unidos vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
40.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
CAN
2 - 0
COM
52%
26%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
COM
0 - 0
UTC
35%
27%
39%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 1
COM
75%
16%
8%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
COM
2 - 2
COM
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
COM
1 - 0
GAR
24%
24%
52%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
SAM
2 - 3
GAR
36%
26%
39%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
MUN
3 - 1
SAM
44%
27%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
SPC
0 - 1
SAM
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 0
SBO
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SRP
0 - 2
SAM
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |