Comerciantes Unidos vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
AGP
4 - 0
COM
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
COM
4 - 0
COM
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
COM
3 - 3
PIR
54%
22%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
AUR
1 - 1
COM
51%
26%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
COM
1 - 2
LOS
44%
25%
32%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
SFC
2 - 0
PIR
44%
24%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
AUR
2 - 2
SFC
62%
23%
15%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
SFC
1 - 4
LOS
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
SCJ
3 - 0
SFC
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
SFC
1 - 3
UNI
34%
26%
41%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |