Comerciantes Unidos vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
COM
1 - 1
COM
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
PIR
2 - 0
COM
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
AGP
3 - 0
COM
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
COM
3 - 2
AGP
27%
26%
47%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ALI
4 - 1
COM
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
SFC
1 - 3
AUR
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
SRP
0 - 1
SFC
53%
26%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
SFC
0 - 4
LOS
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
LOS
1 - 0
SFC
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CIE
4 - 2
SFC
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -2 |