Comerciantes Unidos vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.6%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
29.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
HUA
2 - 1
COM
69%
20%
12%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
COM
4 - 1
BOC
42%
26%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 0
COM
56%
26%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
AUR
44%
26%
31%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
AYA
1 - 0
COM
49%
25%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
IVT
2 - 0
MEL
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 1
MUN
64%
21%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
SAM
2 - 1
MEL
29%
29%
41%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
HUA
0 - 0
MEL
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
MEL
0 - 1
IVT
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |