Comerciantes Unidos vs Deportivo Llacuabamba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
SFC
3 - 1
COM
40%
26%
35%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
COM
2 - 1
ALF
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
AYA
2 - 4
COM
50%
25%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
COM
2 - 1
FCS
64%
20%
16%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
COM
2 - 1
GAR
23%
25%
52%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Llacuabamba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
LLA
3 - 0
LOS
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 0
LLA
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SFC
0 - 1
LLA
52%
24%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 1
ALF
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LOS
2 - 0
LLA
32%
27%
41%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |