Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
23.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 1
COM
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
COM
3 - 1
AYA
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
UTC
2 - 2
COM
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
UNI
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
HUA
1 - 1
COM
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 0
ALI
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALI
3 - 0
UNI
41%
28%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SAM
3 - 0
ALI
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 1
UTC
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
AYA
1 - 1
ALI
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |