Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
31.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 1
COM
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
GAR
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
COM
3 - 2
COM
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 0
COM
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
COM
2 - 0
MEL
42%
29%
29%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 2
ALI
37%
28%
36%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 1
GAR
44%
27%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 0
ALI
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 0
HUA
45%
28%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 2
ALI
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |