Comerciantes FC vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.9%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
84.1%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.6%
0-4
8.8%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.9%
0-5
5.3%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.3%
0-6
2.7%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.5%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comerciantes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
PIR
1 - 0
COM
91%
7%
2%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
COM
0 - 0
UNI
5%
12%
83%
|
17 | 54 | 37 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
BOC
0 - 2
COM
95%
4%
1%
|
16 | 51 | 35 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
ABR
1 - 4
COM
59%
20%
21%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CDG
0 - 0
COM
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 2
AUN
31%
26%
44%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SRP
2 - 0
SAM
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 2
CIE
13%
22%
65%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MUN
2 - 1
SAM
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 1
VAL
14%
25%
62%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | +1 |