Copa Peru Etapas Finales Final
Global 4-5
Comerciantes FC vs Sport Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comerciantes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
EST
4 - 1
COM
26%
24%
50%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 4
COM
19%
19%
62%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sport Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
EST
4 - 1
COM
26%
24%
50%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
EST
4 - 0
JTR
50%
21%
29%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
JTR
1 - 0
EST
27%
21%
52%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |