Perú - Liga 2 Playoffs Ascenso Semi-finals
Global 1-4
Comerciantes FC vs Los Chankas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
52.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comerciantes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
COM
1 - 0
SFC
26%
26%
48%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
AUR
0 - 2
COM
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
COM
3 - 1
AUN
19%
24%
57%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
SRP
5 - 0
COM
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
COM
2 - 2
COM
17%
23%
61%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Los Chankas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
SRP
11 - 0
PIR
83%
12%
5%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 3
SRP
20%
25%
55%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
SRP
5 - 0
COM
79%
14%
7%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
AUN
2 - 1
SRP
39%
27%
35%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 1
SRP
20%
26%
54%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |