Comerciantes FC vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comerciantes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 1
COM
27%
26%
47%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
PIR
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
JPC
3 - 2
COM
23%
26%
51%
|
60 | 28 | 32 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
COM
0 - 0
CAN
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
AYA
1 - 0
COM
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
AYA
2 - 3
CAN
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
AYA
2 - 3
FSM
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
PIR
3 - 1
AYA
19%
22%
59%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
JPC
2 - 3
AYA
14%
18%
68%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
AYA
1 - 0
COM
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |