Comerciantes FC vs FC San Marcos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+390%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comerciantes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PIR
1 - 1
COM
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
COM
1 - 0
JPC
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 23 | 36 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
COM
2 - 0
CAN
48%
27%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
AYA
0 - 2
COM
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
COM
6 - 1
BIN
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
FC San Marcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FSM
4 - 3
AYA
22%
23%
56%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
CAN
0 - 0
FSM
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 0
JPC
76%
14%
10%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
LLA
2 - 2
FSM
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 2
AUN
20%
25%
55%
|
37 | 68 | 31 | 0 |