Comercial vs Velo Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
44.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
BSP
0 - 0
COM
27%
23%
50%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
COM
0 - 3
VOT
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2021 |
COM
0 - 2
JOS
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
BAN
0 - 0
COM
21%
25%
55%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 0
COM
43%
26%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
VOT
3 - 0
VEL
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
VEL
0 - 3
BSP
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
VEL
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
VEL
3 - 2
TAU
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
VEL
2 - 0
BER
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |