Comercial vs São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
13.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SAO
3 - 3
COM
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
COM
3 - 1
VOT
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
USA
0 - 3
COM
22%
26%
52%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
COM
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
COM
4 - 2
BER
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SAO
3 - 3
COM
25%
26%
49%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 2
USA
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
VOT
2 - 0
SAO
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 2
MAT
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
BAN
0 - 1
SAO
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |