Comercial vs CA Joseense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
POR
2 - 0
COM
25%
26%
49%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
INT
1 - 1
COM
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
COM
1 - 0
OLI
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
COM
0 - 0
DES
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
COM
46%
25%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CA Joseense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
IND
1 - 3
SJS
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SJS
1 - 1
DES
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
SJS
3 - 0
TAB
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 0
SJS
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
RIO
0 - 2
SJS
63%
22%
16%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |