Comercial vs São Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
COM
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
COM
1 - 0
CAT
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
RIO
3 - 1
COM
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
COM
1 - 0
VEL
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
COM
56%
26%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SAO
4 - 0
GUA
29%
26%
46%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 0
FER
52%
25%
24%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
FER
1 - 2
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
OLI
3 - 1
SAO
40%
27%
33%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 0
JAB
63%
22%
15%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |