Comercial vs Rio Preto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
39.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
COM
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
COM
2 - 1
UNI
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SER
0 - 0
COM
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 2
COM
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
COM
0 - 0
FER
37%
25%
39%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Preto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 1
RIO
35%
25%
39%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
3 - 1
SER
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 0
MAR
30%
24%
46%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
FER
3 - 4
RIO
46%
25%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
CAT
1 - 2
RIO
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |