Comercial vs Rio Claro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
39.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
FER
0 - 0
COM
62%
23%
16%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
BAT
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
IND
1 - 2
COM
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
COM
3 - 1
RIO
37%
27%
37%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 2
COM
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 0
FER
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
BAT
0 - 1
RIO
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 1
PPE
14%
22%
64%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 0
RIO
50%
23%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
PAL
3 - 0
RIO
77%
16%
7%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | -1 |