Comercial vs Rio Claro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
37%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
OES
1 - 1
COM
61%
23%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 3
COM
72%
19%
10%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
COM
0 - 2
PAL
12%
20%
68%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
MOG
2 - 1
COM
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
COM
1 - 1
SER
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
SAO
6 - 3
RIO
78%
16%
6%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
RIO
0 - 1
PEN
54%
25%
22%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
LIN
0 - 0
RIO
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 0
ATL
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
POR
0 - 1
RIO
72%
19%
9%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | +2 |