Comercial vs Rio Claro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
42.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 1
COM
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
COM
0 - 1
CAT
46%
25%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
POR
3 - 0
COM
42%
26%
33%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
COM
2 - 1
ATL
32%
24%
44%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
COM
1 - 3
SAO
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
COR
5 - 1
RIO
90%
8%
2%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 1
SAN
11%
18%
70%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 3
BRA
26%
24%
50%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
PPE
2 - 2
RIO
77%
14%
9%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
RIO
3 - 0
RIO
40%
26%
35%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |