Cup Paulista Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 2-2
Comercial vs Primavera SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
52.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
COM
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
COM
0 - 0
BSP
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FRA
0 - 1
COM
33%
27%
40%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
COM
3 - 3
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
COM
2 - 1
MON
26%
24%
49%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Primavera SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 1
PRI
43%
27%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
PRI
3 - 1
RBB
54%
22%
23%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CAP
0 - 0
PRI
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
PRI
3 - 2
RIO
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PRI
2 - 0
SAO
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |