Comercial vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
48.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 0
COM
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
COM
0 - 3
MIR
12%
21%
67%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 0
COM
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
COM
0 - 1
MAR
36%
26%
37%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
PPE
3 - 0
COM
78%
16%
7%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 1
MAR
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 0
SAO
50%
26%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
MIR
1 - 1
NOR
78%
15%
7%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 0
GRE
61%
23%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NOV
3 - 0
NOR
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |