Comercial vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
COM
0 - 0
OLI
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
PRI
0 - 2
COM
20%
27%
53%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
XVD
1 - 0
COM
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
COM
0 - 0
XVD
30%
26%
44%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
COM
3 - 1
PRI
65%
22%
14%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
NOR
3 - 0
BAR
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
BAN
1 - 2
NOR
17%
24%
59%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
NOR
1 - 2
VEL
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
VEL
0 - 0
NOR
43%
28%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
NOR
1 - 1
NAC
54%
25%
22%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |