Comercial vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
COM
1 - 2
PRI
62%
23%
15%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
PRI
0 - 0
COM
22%
26%
52%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
COM
2 - 2
SAO
61%
23%
16%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 1
COM
26%
26%
48%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
COM
1 - 1
FLA
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
DES
0 - 1
NOR
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
NOR
2 - 2
INT
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
RBB
4 - 0
NOR
58%
24%
18%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
NOR
2 - 1
FER
22%
26%
52%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
XVD
2 - 2
NOR
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |